RDNT — Deck

RadNet · RDNT · NASDAQ

RadNet runs 418 outpatient imaging centers — the largest freestanding U.S. network — and is building DeepHealth, a radiology-AI software platform assembled through more than $400M of acquisitions since mid-2024.

$56
Price
$4.2B
Market cap
$2.04B
Revenue (FY25)
418
Imaging centers
Traded at $4.81 in early 2016, compounded to an all-time high of $93.65 in November 2024, and has given back 40% to $56.44 today.
2 · The tension

A 9× imaging roll-up that re-rated to 22× on an AI story — and the market is already taking it back.

  • The multiple did the work. EV/EBITDA ran from ~9× in 2023 to 21.9× at the FY25 peak on the same 4–6% operating margin — a pure re-rating, not an earnings story. Compression is now live: 14.5× today, still 1.3 standard deviations above the 20-year median of 8.5×.
  • Imaging earns its keep; the premium doesn't come from it. 418 centers produced $1.99B at a 15.4% EBITDA margin and 1.7% ROIC — the lowest capital return in the healthcare-services peer set. DVA and THC deliver higher margins and trade at 7–8× EV/EBITDA. The gap is Digital Health.
  • Digital Health is 4.5% of revenue and two-thirds of the argument. The segment grew 41% to $92.7M but its operating loss doubled to −$32.3M; 45% of its revenue is sold internally. The stock reaches $85 if this becomes SaaS; it revisits $36 if it doesn't.
At 14.5×, the re-rate is halfway normalized — halfway, not done.
3 · Money picture

Record revenue and record cash — masking a GAAP net loss and an equity-funded growth engine.

$2.04B
Revenue (FY25) +11.5% YoY, +14.8% in Q4
15.4%
EBITDA margin down from 21.2% in FY21
$298.8M
Operating cash flow record, +28% YoY
64%
Stock-based comp / FCF vs 25% in FY22

Revenue accelerated through the year and leverage sits at 1.0× net debt/EBITDA after the 2024 equity raise and refi. But the California healthcare wage step-up compressed EBITDA margin 230bps, GAAP net income swung to −$18.7M, and stock-based comp consumed two-thirds of reported free cash flow. On an SBC-adjusted basis the business produced $31M of true shareholder cash — a 0.7% yield on market cap.

4 · The pivot

The company RadNet is becoming — and the thing the market is really paying for.

Before (2021). RadNet was the largest U.S. outpatient imaging operator — 330 centers, 99.9% of revenue from scan volume, AI a side project, ROIC under 2%. A capital-heavy regional roll-up priced at 9× EBITDA.

Pivot (2024–2026). Management rebranded the AI division as Digital Health in late 2024, raised $230M of equity, then bought iCAD (July 2025, all-stock), See-Mode, CIMAR UK, and Gleamer (March 2026, up to €230M) — over $400M of AI M&A in nine months. The company now markets itself as the world's largest radiology AI provider.

Today. 22 FDA clearances, 2,075 Digital Health customers, $75M ARR against a $140M year-end 2026 target. The only prior AI milestone — Aidence's Veye lung-nodule filing — was impaired for $3.9M after a failed FDA submission, disclosed inside the MD&A. The platform exists; whether it converts is the next-twelve-months question.

A $2B imaging operator has effectively written itself a $4B call option on radiology software.
5 · Price picture

A textbook downtrend that momentum indicators haven't caught up to yet.

  • Second death cross in 13 months. The 50-day SMA crossed below the 200-day on 2026-03-20 for the second time since March 2025; the intervening golden cross did not hold. Price sits 18.8% below the 200-day and in the bottom 21% of its 52-week range.
  • No capitulation signature. None of the six largest volume days of the last seven years landed during the March–April 2026 decline. RSI prints 41, not oversold. This is slow distribution, not a panic low — sellers are not yet exhausted.
  • Leadership is compressing. Over three years RDNT still doubled the S&P 500 (+105% vs +71%) and lapped the healthcare ETF (+9%). But the RDNT-vs-SPY excess-return gap collapsed from 150 points in November 2024 to 34 points today.
Rallies are counter-trend until price reclaims $62.
6 · Who runs this

A 40-year founder-CEO who sits at the center of both the economics and the succession risk.

  • One person, three titles. Howard Berger (81) is Chairman, CEO, and President, with no named successor and 0.66% of shares directly. A January 2026 reshuffle promoted four lieutenants to regional and divisional CEOs — a federated structure that reads as succession prep without a public timetable.
  • Berger personally owns 99% of BRMG. Beverly Radiology Medical Group supplies physicians to nearly every RadNet center in California and Arizona, under a management agreement auto-renewed for 10 years in January 2024; RadNet collects 78% of BRMG's gross. Any disorderly transition re-prices that relationship.
  • Every insider has sold; none has bought. 11 open-market sales, zero purchases over the last six months through a $60–$82 range, for $9.3M of net selling. COO Patel has 177,649 shares pledged in a margin account. Say-on-pay support slipped from 89% to 83%.
The operating bench has earned confidence; the governance structure has not.
7 · For & against

Lean cautious — the imaging half is earned, the Digital Health half is not.

  • For. The multiple already compressed 35% from 21.9× to 14.5× while Q4 revenue accelerated to 14.8% YoY and operating cash flow hit a record $299M.
  • For. 22 FDA clearances plus iCAD's 1,500-customer mammography installed base are regulatory-protected assets; competing clearances take 2–3 years and clinical trials to replicate.
  • Against. Digital Health operating loss doubled to −$32.3M while 45% of its revenue is still sold to RadNet's own centers — and the one prior milestone (Aidence) was impaired after a failed FDA filing.
  • Against. 14.5× still sits 1.3 standard deviations above the 20-year median of 8.5×; price is 18.8% below the 200-day with no capitulation and a fresh death cross.
My view — lean cautious. Two consecutive Digital Health prints where segment operating loss narrows in dollars while revenue grows ≥40% YoY would flip it.

Watchlist to re-rate: Q2 2026 imaging EBITDA margin (first clean comp after the California wage anniversary); Digital Health segment operating-loss trajectory against the $140M ARR bridge; any IPR&D impairment commentary on iCAD, See-Mode, CIMAR, or Gleamer.